Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.001069 0.001218 0.001370 0.001534 0.001708 0.001885 0.002078
2025-03-09 0.000789 0.000995 0.001212 0.001457 0.001724 0.002002 0.002314
2025-03-16 0.000594 0.000836 0.001104 0.001416 0.001764 0.002136 0.002559
2025-03-23 0.000490 0.000766 0.001083 0.001462 0.001895 0.002365 0.002907
2025-03-30 0.000381 0.000675 0.001028 0.001464 0.001971 0.002531 0.003184
2025-04-06 0.000308 0.000618 0.001007 0.001499 0.002081 0.002732 0.003499
2025-04-13 0.000263 0.000591 0.001019 0.001570 0.002232 0.002978 0.003864
2025-04-20 0.000176 0.000491 0.000928 0.001511 0.002225 0.003041 0.004019
2025-04-27 0.000105 0.000397 0.000836 0.001443 0.002203 0.003082 0.004146
2025-05-04 0.000080 0.000372 0.000834 0.001487 0.002313 0.003276 0.004447
2025-05-11 0.000036 0.000294 0.000749 0.001417 0.002280 0.003299 0.004549
2025-05-18 0.000007 0.000215 0.000650 0.001322 0.002212 0.003276 0.004594
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000145 0.000563 0.001255 0.002197 0.003344 0.004779
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000091 0.000491 0.001202 0.002200 0.003434 0.004992
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000056 0.000439 0.001175 0.002236 0.003565 0.005255
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000044 0.000438 0.001226 0.002376 0.003825 0.005675
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000026 0.000412 0.001233 0.002456 0.004010 0.006007
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000017 0.000403 0.001269 0.002574 0.004244 0.006396
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000014 0.000415 0.001338 0.002739 0.004536 0.006857
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000002 0.000358 0.001284 0.002730 0.004607 0.007049
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000302 0.001223 0.002706 0.004657 0.007211
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000301 0.001264 0.002829 0.004894 0.007604
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000248 0.001200 0.002795 0.004928 0.007745